Kamis, 11 Oktober 2012



Political Systems
•         Political Systems: system of government in a country
•         Differentiated along two related dimensions
–        Emphasis on collectivism versus individualism
–        Degree of democracy versus totalitarianism
•         Collectivism:  stresses collective goals over individual goals (Plato and Marx)
–        Socialism:  communists and social democrats
•         Individualism:  stresses individual freedom in economic and political pursuits (Aristotle, Smith, Stuart Mill) advocates individual political and economic freedoms
•         Democracy:  citizens directly involved in decision-making
–        representative democracy
•         Totalitarianism:  one person or political party exercises absolute control
–        communist totalitarianism
–        theocratic totalitarianism (religion based political power)
–        tribal totalitarianism (monopoly of power)
–        right-wing totalitarianism (economic freedom without political freedom)

Economic Systems
•         Market Economy:  market mechanisms determines resource allocation
•         Command economy:  goods and services produced, their mix, and the prices are planned by the government
•         Mixed Economy:  hybrid arrangement where certain sectors are left to the private sector (within restrictions), while some deemed to be of national importance are state-owned and operated
Changing Political Economy 1985-95
 Legal Systems
•         Systems of rules and laws that regulate behavior, processes by which laws are enforced, and redress mechanisms
•         Legal Systems
–        Common Law System (tradition based)
–        Civil Law System (codified)
–        Theocratic Law System (e.g., Islamic Law)
•         International Law (Bilateral and Multilateral treaties)
Issues in International Legal Environment
•         Property rights:  legal rights over use to which a resource is put and income derived
•         Intellectual Property Rights:  patents, copyrights, trademarks:  major bone of contention especially in info-based economies
•         Product safety and liability:  standards protecting consumers
•         Enforcement of national and international laws
Implications for Business
•         Political, economic, and legal systems impact the attractiveness of a country
•         Country attractiveness:
–        Benefits:  the issue of first mover advantages
–        Costs:  bribes, inadequate infrastructure (McDonald’s in Russia), inadequate and stringent laws (different impacts)
–        Risks:
•         Political Risk
•         Economic Risk
•         Legal Risks
Political Risk Assessment
Likelihood the business environment will change in a way that encompasses
·         Discontinuities
·         Uncertainty    
·         Political forces
·         Business impact         
·         Macro risk
·         Micro risk
Sources of Political Risk
I.  Home Country Political Risk
•         National Security Goals
•         Foreign Policy Goals
II.  Host Country Political Risk
•         Xenophobia
•         Social Unrest/disorder
•         Internal rebellion
•         Armed conflicts between nations
•         Local business groups
Political Risk Assessment and Market Entry
Historic FDI emphasis
3 assumptions
            1. Only investors risk assets
            2. Only FDI is integral to firm’s strategy
            3. Actions against investors are politically     
            based; actions against exporters are based on economic considerations
Evidence from Iran-US Tribunal (1980s)
Political Risk Assessment/Management
•         Can we predict the next revolution?
•         Managing political risk
•         Financing
•         Insurance

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